Share the post:

Urea Prices Test 2023 Lows as China Weighs Return to Global Market

[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ custom_padding=”0px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_row disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.24.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_audio audio=”https://genesisfertilizers.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/IMG_1424_01.mp3″ title=”Listen to the Market Report” disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.3″ _module_preset=”default” title_font_size=”20px” width=”33%” width_tablet=”33%” width_phone=”100%” width_last_edited=”on|desktop” max_width=”100%” custom_padding=”20px|20px|20px|20px|false|false” link_option_url=”www.genesisfertilizers.com/wp-content/uploads/Audio/240320MarketReport.mp3″ global_colors_info=”{}”][/et_pb_audio][/et_pb_column][/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.16″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.16″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||”][et_pb_text admin_label=”Date” _builder_version=”4.24.3″ text_font=”|300|||||||” text_font_size=”16px” text_line_height=”1.3em” header_line_height=”1.2em” header_2_line_height=”1.2em” header_4_font_size=”32px” header_6_line_height=”1.3em” background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” header_font_size_tablet=”” header_font_size_phone=”28px” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_4_font_size_tablet=”32px” header_4_font_size_phone=”22px” header_4_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]

Fertilizer Market Report – May 1, 2024

 

[/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_title meta=”off” featured_image=”off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” title_font=”|700|||||||” title_text_color=”#000000″ title_font_size=”32px” global_colors_info=”{}”][/et_pb_post_title][et_pb_text admin_label=”Text” _builder_version=”4.24.3″ text_font=”|300|||||||” text_font_size=”16px” text_line_height=”1.3em” header_line_height=”1.2em” header_2_line_height=”1.2em” header_4_font=”|700|||on||||” header_4_font_size=”32px” header_6_line_height=”1.3em” background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” header_font_size_tablet=”” header_font_size_phone=”28px” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_4_font_size_tablet=”32px” header_4_font_size_phone=”22px” header_4_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]

Quote of the week from a local Saskatchewan farmer: “Canola C$650/mt, Urea C$730/mt – that math doesn’t work.”

Another great article from Profercy explains why global urea prices are nearing the lows seen in 2023. We are seeing increasing supply combined with decreasing demand and confusion surrounding China’s export policies. We are also nearing the low import demand season of June through August which will keep the market guessing.

Did Wheat Prices Just Turn Bullish?

Last week we wrote “Weak demand, big supply and the strong US dollar are prompting funds to continue to short the Ag complex. Watch for short covering.”

This week, DTN’s Lead Analyst Todd Hultman wrote a piece explaining the short covering that is driving wheat prices higher. There seems to be wheat supply issues in India and weather issues in Europe, parts of the U.S. and Canada.

North America Urea Last Week

According to Green Markets, urea prices in Western Canada were flat WoW at C$780/mt DEL. This is the third week in a row with no price movement.

According to Green Markets, urea prices in Eastern Canada fell by C$20/mt on the low end to a range of C$620-$725/mt.

Last week, NOLA urea prices gained slightly to a range of US$288-$315/st from the previous week’s range of US$287-$311/st.

We believe that urea prices in Western Canada are going to eventually correct to the downside. Our advice? Sit and wait.

North America Phosphate Last Week

According to Green Markets, the latest delivered Western Canada MAP prices were flat WoW in a range of C$1,135-$1,145/mt. This is the third week in a row with flat prices.

MAP NOLA was flat WoW in a range of US$480-$485/mt.

Want more control over your inputs? Genesis Fertilizers offers a unique opportunity to own part of a fertilizer production and distribution network. Ownership both secures future urea requirements and annual cash distributions from plant revenues.

Interested? Call: 1 (833) GEN-FERT or email: INFO@genesisfertilizers.com today!

[/et_pb_text][/et_pb_column][/et_pb_row][/et_pb_section]

Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains certain information and statements (“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, current expectations and reasonable beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always, identified by words such as “anticipate”, “assume”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “contemplate”, “propose”, “may”, “can”, “will”, “if”, “to be”, “aim”, “should”, “could”, “would”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”, “potential”, “outlook”, “subject to”, “working toward” and similar or other expressions indicating or suggesting future results or events.

Forward-looking statements are not promises of future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be realized (or if they do, what benefits Genesis Fertilizers or limited partners of Genesis Fertilizers may derive therefrom). In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this press release contains forward-looking statements pertaining to: the construction of the Genesis Fertilizer’s fertilizer plant; design options and use of latest technologies available for the fertilizer plant; the fertilizer plant’s products; minimizing emissions from the fertilizer plant and sustainability; the existence and sustainability of any competitive advantage that Genesis Fertilizers may be able to offer; the commercial operations date of the fertilizer plant; and the benefits of the foregoing on the investment of limited partners in Genesis Fertilizers.

The forward-looking statements contained herein reflect management’s current views, but the assessments and assumptions upon which they are based may prove to be incorrect. Although Genesis Fertilizers believes that its underlying assessments and assumptions are reasonable based on currently available information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend upon the accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both general and specific, many of which are beyond Genesis Fertilizers’ control, that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking statements. As Genesis Fertilizers is currently in the capital raising phase of the project, such risks and uncertainties are numerous and include, but are not limited to, access to the significant amounts of required capital and debt financing for construction and initial operation of the fertilizer plant and distribution facilities; general economic, business and industry conditions; the state of the economy and the agricultural crop input business; business prospects and opportunities; variance of Genesis Fertilizers’ actual capital costs versus projections and estimates, operating costs and economic returns from those anticipated; the availability of government grants and programs; and risks related to the sourcing of feedstock and the manufacturing of nitrogen fertilizer.

This press release is not a solicitation to invest in Genesis Fertilizers.

Get Genesis News & Insights

Project updates, event invitations, and more. 

State of the Fertilizer Industry Genesis leaf