Share the post:

Rosenberg Urges Action to Macklem, USD/CAD Insights, Fertilizer Market Updates

[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ custom_padding=”0px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_row disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.24.0″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_audio audio=”www.genesisfertilizers.com/wp-content/uploads/Audio/240327MarketReport.mp3″ title=”Listen to the Market Report” disabled_on=”off|off|off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” title_font_size=”20px” width=”33%” width_tablet=”33%” width_phone=”100%” width_last_edited=”on|desktop” max_width=”100%” custom_padding=”20px|20px|20px|20px|false|false” link_option_url=”www.genesisfertilizers.com/wp-content/uploads/Audio/240320MarketReport.mp3″ global_colors_info=”{}”][/et_pb_audio][/et_pb_column][/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.16″ background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.16″ custom_padding=”|||” global_colors_info=”{}” custom_padding__hover=”|||”][et_pb_text admin_label=”Text” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ text_font=”|300|||||||” text_font_size=”16px” text_line_height=”1.3em” header_line_height=”1.2em” header_2_line_height=”1.2em” header_4_font_size=”32px” header_6_line_height=”1.3em” background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” header_font_size_tablet=”” header_font_size_phone=”28px” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_4_font_size_tablet=”32px” header_4_font_size_phone=”22px” header_4_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]Fertilizer Market Report – March 27, 2024 [/et_pb_text][et_pb_post_title meta=”off” featured_image=”off” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” title_font=”|700|||||||” title_text_color=”#000000″ title_font_size=”32px” global_colors_info=”{}”][/et_pb_post_title][et_pb_text admin_label=”Text” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ text_font=”|300|||||||” text_font_size=”16px” text_line_height=”1.3em” header_line_height=”1.2em” header_2_line_height=”1.2em” header_4_font_size=”32px” header_6_line_height=”1.3em” background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” hover_enabled=”0″ header_font_size_tablet=”” header_font_size_phone=”28px” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_4_font_size_tablet=”32px” header_4_font_size_phone=”22px” header_4_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}” header_4_font=”|700|||on||||” sticky_enabled=”0″]

In this week’s fertilizer report: David Rosenberg calls for action by Bank of Canada; USD/CAD chart tells a story; North American urea and MAP prices; and industry tidbits.

News of the Week: Fertilizer Market Report

David Rosenberg’s Note to Tiff Macklem — Don’t Make Another Mistake in the Other Direction

In this great article esteemed economist David Rosenberg suggests Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem should consider cutting interest rates sooner rather than later. Rosenberg explains that this is the most punitive real interest rate since 2008 and that the Bank of Canada should not wait until summer to reduce rates. He believes that the Bank of Canada does not need to wait for the US Fed to reduce rates. In his opinion, the BOC can act on its own. We tend to agree.

USD/CAD – Chart Speaks Volumes

Every farmer/producer in Canada should be watching the USD vs CAD rates because most ag inputs are purchased in USD and imported but paid for by producers in CAD. Canada is stuck in a situation in which it needs to reduce real interest rates but if it does act aggressively before the US Fed, the CAD will suffer

[/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https://genesisfertilizers.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/USDvsCAD.jpg” title_text=”USDvsCAD” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”][/et_pb_image][et_pb_text admin_label=”Text” _builder_version=”4.24.2″ text_font=”|300|||||||” text_font_size=”16px” text_line_height=”1.3em” header_line_height=”1.2em” header_2_line_height=”1.2em” header_4_font=”|700|||on||||” header_4_font_size=”32px” header_6_line_height=”1.3em” background_size=”initial” background_position=”top_left” background_repeat=”repeat” header_font_size_tablet=”” header_font_size_phone=”28px” header_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” header_4_font_size_tablet=”32px” header_4_font_size_phone=”22px” header_4_font_size_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”]

 

North America Urea Last Week

According to Green Markets, urea prices in Western Canada were up WoW to a range of C$770-$780/mt from C$750-$765/mt DEL the previous week. These prices are up C$110/mt or 17% since the recent trough of C$665/mt seen in early January.

Offers are still at C$800/mt for prompt and May at C$830/mt FOB Gravelbourg SK.

NOLA urea prices fell to a range of US$354-$406/st from the previous week’s range of US$375-$417/st. First week of April traded at US$390/st FOB but full month April then traded down to US$342-$352/st.  

We have been saying that we believe that prices in Western Canada could pop again once spring seeding starts. This seems to be the case.

North America Phosphate Last Week

According to Green Markets, the latest delivered MAP prices were up WoW in Western Canada to a range of C$1,140-$1,145/mt from the previous week’s C$1,120-$1,130/mt. MAP prices have risen 40% since early July 2023 in Western Canada.

We heard again of two MAP offers in Southern SK at C$1,165/mt for prompt and C$1,190 for Spring FOB.

MAP barges were firm with prices unchanged at the week-ago US$620-US$640/st FOB level. According to Green Markets, prompt and loaded product was priced at the top of the range for both DAP and MAP.

We are hearing that MAP supply is very tight in North America.

 

Industry Tidbits

[/et_pb_text][/et_pb_column][/et_pb_row][/et_pb_section]

Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains certain information and statements (“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, current expectations and reasonable beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always, identified by words such as “anticipate”, “assume”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “contemplate”, “propose”, “may”, “can”, “will”, “if”, “to be”, “aim”, “should”, “could”, “would”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”, “potential”, “outlook”, “subject to”, “working toward” and similar or other expressions indicating or suggesting future results or events.

Forward-looking statements are not promises of future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be realized (or if they do, what benefits Genesis Fertilizers or limited partners of Genesis Fertilizers may derive therefrom). In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this press release contains forward-looking statements pertaining to: the construction of the Genesis Fertilizer’s fertilizer plant; design options and use of latest technologies available for the fertilizer plant; the fertilizer plant’s products; minimizing emissions from the fertilizer plant and sustainability; the existence and sustainability of any competitive advantage that Genesis Fertilizers may be able to offer; the commercial operations date of the fertilizer plant; and the benefits of the foregoing on the investment of limited partners in Genesis Fertilizers.

The forward-looking statements contained herein reflect management’s current views, but the assessments and assumptions upon which they are based may prove to be incorrect. Although Genesis Fertilizers believes that its underlying assessments and assumptions are reasonable based on currently available information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend upon the accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both general and specific, many of which are beyond Genesis Fertilizers’ control, that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking statements. As Genesis Fertilizers is currently in the capital raising phase of the project, such risks and uncertainties are numerous and include, but are not limited to, access to the significant amounts of required capital and debt financing for construction and initial operation of the fertilizer plant and distribution facilities; general economic, business and industry conditions; the state of the economy and the agricultural crop input business; business prospects and opportunities; variance of Genesis Fertilizers’ actual capital costs versus projections and estimates, operating costs and economic returns from those anticipated; the availability of government grants and programs; and risks related to the sourcing of feedstock and the manufacturing of nitrogen fertilizer.

This press release is not a solicitation to invest in Genesis Fertilizers.

Get Genesis News & Insights

Project updates, event invitations, and more. 

State of the Fertilizer Industry Genesis leaf