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Urea Western Canada Delivered Prices Correct

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Fertilizer Market Report – June 19, 2024 

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In this week’s fertilizer report:

  • Urea Western Canada Delivered Prices Correct Big Time
  • Inclusion of Phosphate on Critical Minerals List
  • North American Urea and MAP prices
  • Industry Tidbits.

News of the Week: Fertilizer Market Report

Urea Western Canada Delivered Prices Correct Big Time

In our view, the news of the week is the correction in Urea Western Canada Delivered price. The average price dropped 19.3% in one week. It is the correction we expected and now the spread in CAD$/mt between Urea Western Canada and Urea NOLA is back to where it should be. But as one producer said to me this morning, “we are a long ways away from 2025 fertilizer needs.”

Fertilizer Canada Supports Inclusion of Phosphorus and Continued Inclusion of Potash on Updated Critical Minerals List

Fertilizer Canada welcomes the release of the federal government’s updated Critical Mineral List, which retains potash and adds phosphorus. These two key minerals are important fertilizers that help farmers grow healthy, hearty crops that feed the world.

Canadian farmers rely on imported phosphorus fertilizer, while over 75 countries, including the United States, depend on sustainably and ethically sourced Canadian potash. Their inclusion on the list underscores their significance to agriculture and food security on a global scale.

Fertilizer Canada Supports Inclusion of Phosphorus and Continued Inclusion of Potash on Updated Critical Minerals List – Fertilizer Canada

North America Urea Last Week 

According to Green Markets, urea prices in Western Canada finally corrected. The average price dropped 19.3% to C$628/mt. The range was quoted at C$625-$630/mt, down from a range of C$775-$780/mt DEL, where it sat for six weeks.

Last week, NOLA urea prices rose again on the back of the news out of Egypt and China, to a range of US$290-$302/st from a range of US$290-$302/st the previous week.

The world is still awaiting news of an Indian urea tender. With China out of the export market, that volume to India will have to come from the Middle East and Russia.

North America Phosphate Last Week

According to Green Markets, the latest delivered Western Canada MAP average price fell 9.2% to C$1,035 from C$1,140/mt. The range was C$1,030-$1,040/mt, down from a range of C$1,135-$1,145/mt where it paused for nine weeks.

MAP NOLA was up another 3% on average to a range of US$600-$620/st from a range of US$590-$600/st the previous week. In the last six weeks, MAP NOLA has risen 26% on average.

Industry Tidbits

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Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains certain information and statements (“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, current expectations and reasonable beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always, identified by words such as “anticipate”, “assume”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “contemplate”, “propose”, “may”, “can”, “will”, “if”, “to be”, “aim”, “should”, “could”, “would”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”, “potential”, “outlook”, “subject to”, “working toward” and similar or other expressions indicating or suggesting future results or events.

Forward-looking statements are not promises of future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be realized (or if they do, what benefits Genesis Fertilizers or limited partners of Genesis Fertilizers may derive therefrom). In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this press release contains forward-looking statements pertaining to: the construction of the Genesis Fertilizer’s fertilizer plant; design options and use of latest technologies available for the fertilizer plant; the fertilizer plant’s products; minimizing emissions from the fertilizer plant and sustainability; the existence and sustainability of any competitive advantage that Genesis Fertilizers may be able to offer; the commercial operations date of the fertilizer plant; and the benefits of the foregoing on the investment of limited partners in Genesis Fertilizers.

The forward-looking statements contained herein reflect management’s current views, but the assessments and assumptions upon which they are based may prove to be incorrect. Although Genesis Fertilizers believes that its underlying assessments and assumptions are reasonable based on currently available information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend upon the accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both general and specific, many of which are beyond Genesis Fertilizers’ control, that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking statements. As Genesis Fertilizers is currently in the capital raising phase of the project, such risks and uncertainties are numerous and include, but are not limited to, access to the significant amounts of required capital and debt financing for construction and initial operation of the fertilizer plant and distribution facilities; general economic, business and industry conditions; the state of the economy and the agricultural crop input business; business prospects and opportunities; variance of Genesis Fertilizers’ actual capital costs versus projections and estimates, operating costs and economic returns from those anticipated; the availability of government grants and programs; and risks related to the sourcing of feedstock and the manufacturing of nitrogen fertilizer.

This press release is not a solicitation to invest in Genesis Fertilizers.