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Nutrien Begins Shutting Down Trinidad Nitrogen Operations

In this week’s fertilizer report: Nutrien Begins Shutting Down Trinidad Nitrogen Operations; Global Fertilizer Market Analysis – October 20, 2025; Canada Markets: Record Domestic Use of Canola Should Be Cause for Celebration; Daily Urea Prices; Daily DAP Prices; and North American Urea and Phosphate Price Action.

News of the Week

Nutrien Begins Shutting Down Trinidad Nitrogen Operations
This will tighten up nitrogen supply globally.
The company says the shutdown is in response to port access restrictions imposed by Trinidad and Tobago’s National Energy Corp. and a lack of reliable and economic natural gas supply.
(Source: Nutrien)

Closed: Nutrien shuts down Trinidad nitrogen operations

Global Fertilizer Market Analysis – October 20, 2025
Global urea prices fell sharply after India’s RCF tender revealed lower-than-expected bids, setting a new benchmark for the market. While some new buying interest appeared from Europe and the Americas, most suppliers withdrew from the market, anticipating another Indian tender.
(Source: Alissa Phan)

Global Fertilizer Market Analysis: Urea, DAP, AS, TSP Prices | Alissa Phan posted on the topic | LinkedIn

Canada Markets: Record Domestic Use of Canola Should Be Cause for Celebration
Developments over the past week made it very clear what western Canada has suggested all along — that Canadian tariffs on Chinese EV imports are responsible for trade restrictions imposed by China and that removing them would restore canola (and other) exports.

In case it was missed, China’s ambassador to Canada was authorized to offer removing tariffs on canola if Canada did the same on Chinese EV imports. The premiers of both Manitoba and Saskatchewan quickly urged Prime Minister Carney to take China up on it, but optimism faded when Ontario Premier Doug Ford threw a wet blanket on hopes for a quick resolution when he publicly responded with “no d**n way.” It seems the team Canada approach only works if it is in the best interest of eastern Canada with the battle in Ottawa over the issue clearly far from over. That took the wind out of canola’s sales with prices drifting since.


(Source: DTN)
Record Domestic Use of Canola Should Be Cause for Celebration

Daily Urea Prices
Urea fell to US$377.75/T on October 22, 2025, down 0.07% from the previous day. Over the past month, Urea’s price has risen 0.07%, and is up 14.21% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity.


(Source: Trading Economics)

Daily DAP Prices
Di-ammonium rose to US$767.25/T on October 22, 2025, up 0.03% from the previous day. Over the past month, Di-ammonium’s price has risen 1.62%, and is up 37.01% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity.

(Source: Trading Economics)

North America Urea Last Week  
According to Direct Hedge, urea NOLA swaps started October at US$386/st and dropped to US$373/st on Thursday. The mood in urea globally continues to be bearish.

According to our sources, Western Canada DEL offer price remained at C$789/mt this week. We see more downside risk to this price.

Direct Hedge framed up the urea NOLA market on Thursday morning as follows: Oct was bid/offer US$375/$380/st. Nov was bid/offer US$375/$385/st, Dec was bid/offer US$380/$390/st and Jan was bid/offer US$385/395.

North America Phosphate Last Week
According to our sources, the delivered Western Canada MAP delivered price was still C$1,284/mt offer this week.

We continue to believe that these prices will remain elevated through 2025 in Canada, however there has been a bit of a shift at NOLA with the bid/offer spreads falling WoW. Let’s sit and wait to see how this plays out and how it might affect Canadian prices as we approach calendar 2026.

According to Direct Hedge, MAP NOLA prices were offered at US$765/st.

Industry Tidbits

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