Share the post:

Dear Ottawa: You Can’t Eat an Electric Vehicle

In this week’s fertilizer report: Dear Ottawa: You Can’t Eat an Electric Vehicle; Markets are UP on Trump’s Softer China talk – But Corn and Soybeans Aren’t Buying It; The Next Generation of Growth: Cultivating a New Crop of Agriculture Talent and Innovators; Daily Urea Prices; and North American Urea and Phosphate Price Action.

News of the Week

Dear Ottawa: You Can’t Eat an Electric Vehicle
China is handing Canada a solution on a silver platter to end the trade dispute hurting our farmers. Time for Ottawa to grow up geopolitically and act in the national interest.

China rarely telegraphs its diplomatic intentions so openly. Yet, in recent days, Beijing has done just that — signalling that if Canada were to lift its tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, China would, in turn, remove the punitive tariffs it has placed on Canadian agricultural exports such as canola. In the often-opaque world of trade diplomacy, such clarity is unusual. And in this case, it’s an unmistakable invitation to de-escalate.
(Source: Dr. Sylvain Charlebois)
Dear Ottawa: You Can’t Eat an Electric Vehicle

Markets are UP on Trump’s Softer China talk – But Corn and Soybeans Aren’t Buying It
Ag traders aren’t buying into the trade optimism yet. With harvest ~50% complete, farmers want actual sales, not just talk.

(Source: Peak Trading Research)

Post | LinkedIn

The Next Generation of Growth: Cultivating a new crop of agriculture talent and innovators – RBC

  • Canadian agriculture has immense potential but an innovation drain is slowing it down.
  • The sector is not attracting enough talent.
  • The research and development system is becoming less diverse.
  • Other countries are pulling ahead.
  • Commercialization of agriculture solutions are headed south.

Canada’s agriculture sector has all the ingredients to be the best in the world—productive soils, temperate climate, advanced on-farm mechanization, and a growing agri-food manufacturing sector. The size of the opportunity for Canada really comes into focus when you consider the scale of production as a breadbasket to the world, rapid development of digital tools, which are transforming every aspect of farming, and growing access to expand in high-potential export markets, most notably in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
(Source: RBC)
The Next Generation of Growth: Cultivating a new crop of agriculture talent and innovators – RBC

North America Urea Last Week  
According to Direct Hedge, urea NOLA swaps started October at US$386/st and dropped to US$377.50/st on Thursday. The mood in urea globally continues to be bearish.

According to our sources, Western Canada DEL offer price remained at C$789/mt this week. We see more downside risk to this price.

Direct Hedge framed up the urea NOLA market on Thursday morning as follows: Oct was bid/offer US$375/$385/st. Nov was bid/offer US$380/$385/st, Dec was bid/offer US$375/$385/st and Jan was bid/offer US$380/390.

North America Phosphate Last Week
According to our sources, the delivered Western Canada MAP delivered price was still C$1,284/mt offer this week.

We continue to believe that these prices will remain elevated through 2025 in Canada, however there has been a bit of a shift at NOLA with the bid/offer spreads falling WoW. Let’s sit and wait to see how this plays out and how it might affect Canadian prices as we approach calendar 2026.

According to Direct Hedge, MAP NOLA prices were bid/offer US$745/$785/st Oct and Nov and Dec together is offered US$720/st.

Industry Tidbits

Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains certain information and statements (“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, current expectations and reasonable beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always, identified by words such as “anticipate”, “assume”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “contemplate”, “propose”, “may”, “can”, “will”, “if”, “to be”, “aim”, “should”, “could”, “would”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”, “potential”, “outlook”, “subject to”, “working toward” and similar or other expressions indicating or suggesting future results or events.

Forward-looking statements are not promises of future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be realized (or if they do, what benefits Genesis Fertilizers or limited partners of Genesis Fertilizers may derive therefrom). In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this press release contains forward-looking statements pertaining to: the construction of the Genesis Fertilizer’s fertilizer plant; design options and use of latest technologies available for the fertilizer plant; the fertilizer plant’s products; minimizing emissions from the fertilizer plant and sustainability; the existence and sustainability of any competitive advantage that Genesis Fertilizers may be able to offer; the commercial operations date of the fertilizer plant; and the benefits of the foregoing on the investment of limited partners in Genesis Fertilizers.

The forward-looking statements contained herein reflect management’s current views, but the assessments and assumptions upon which they are based may prove to be incorrect. Although Genesis Fertilizers believes that its underlying assessments and assumptions are reasonable based on currently available information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend upon the accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both general and specific, many of which are beyond Genesis Fertilizers’ control, that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking statements. As Genesis Fertilizers is currently in the capital raising phase of the project, such risks and uncertainties are numerous and include, but are not limited to, access to the significant amounts of required capital and debt financing for construction and initial operation of the fertilizer plant and distribution facilities; general economic, business and industry conditions; the state of the economy and the agricultural crop input business; business prospects and opportunities; variance of Genesis Fertilizers’ actual capital costs versus projections and estimates, operating costs and economic returns from those anticipated; the availability of government grants and programs; and risks related to the sourcing of feedstock and the manufacturing of nitrogen fertilizer.

This press release is not a solicitation to invest in Genesis Fertilizers.